Powell maintains rate expectations, sees possible cuts after July |
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated on Monday that the central bank is likely to keep interest rates steady at its upcoming meeting on July 30-31, with potential rate cuts considered for later meetings, particularly in September. Speaking at a session in Washington, Powell noted that inflation and economic activity have moderated, aligning with the Fed's forecasts. This shift increases confidence that inflation will return to the Fed's target, although Powell remained non-committal about a rate cut in July. Despite improvements in inflation and cooling labor market conditions, Powell emphasized a cautious approach, stating decisions will be taken "meeting by meeting." He highlighted the challenge of balancing the risks between delaying rate cuts, which could lead to a sharper economic slowdown, and moving too soon, potentially allowing inflation to remain above target. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee also expressed concerns about the current rate potentially being too restrictive given the recent drop in inflation from over 4% to around 2.5%.