Leading economies at risk of falling into high-inflation trap, BIS says |
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) says the world’s leading central banks should not be shy of inflicting short-term pain or even recessions to prevent a shift into a persistently high-inflation world. “The global economy could be set for a period of stagflation, involving both low growth, if not an outright recession, and high inflation,” it said. Agustin Carstens, general manager of the Switzerland-based BIS, explained: “The key for central banks is to act quickly and decisively before inflation becomes entrenched. If it does, the costs of bringing it back under control will be higher. The longer term benefits of preserving stability outweigh any short-term costs.” Claudio Borio, head of the BIS’s monetary and economic department, told the Times that shadow banks faced a liquidity crunch that could trigger a chain of
corporate bankruptcies as central banks raised borrowing costs to fight
inflation. “There is a hidden liquidity mismatch which erupted in March 2020 and we cannot rule out further possibilities of strain in the shadow banking sector,” Borio said.