| Weekly jobless filings dip to 209,000 despite economic uncertainty |
New U.S. unemployment claims fell last week, signaling continued labor market resilience despite rising inflation pressures tied to the conflict involving Iran and ongoing global supply chain disruptions. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits declined by 3,000 to 209,000 for the week ended May 16th, remaining near historically low levels even as technology companies continue to announce layoffs linked to artificial intelligence adoption. The four-week moving average fell to 202,500, the lowest since 2024, while continuing claims, reported with a one week lag, increased 6,000 to a seasonally-adjusted 1.782m. "We still can't rule out some spillover effects from the war and the spike in oil prices on to the labor market, which we have always expected would come with a lag," commented Matthew Martin, a senior U.S. economist at Oxford Economics. "But for now, we think the labor market is showing enough stability to allow the Fed to feel comfortable keeping policy steady."