Retail sales surge on gas price spike, masking mixed consumer spending |
U.S. retail sales jumped 1.7% in March, marking the strongest monthly increase in more than three years, driven largely by a sharp rise in gasoline prices and geopolitical disruption. The Commerce Department said that sales at gas stations surged 15.5% as fuel costs spiked following the Iran conflict and supply disruptions, significantly boosting overall figures. Excluding gasoline, retail sales rose a more modest 0.6%, slightly below February’s pace, indicating more moderate underlying consumer demand. Spending remained relatively resilient across several categories, including furniture and electronics, supported in part by tax refunds and income gains. However, signs of strain emerged as apparel sales stagnated and restaurant spending grew only marginally, suggesting that higher fuel costs are beginning to shift household budgets, particularly for lower-income consumers. Economists warn that while savings, tax refunds, and credit are helping sustain spending for now, prolonged high energy prices could increasingly pressure consumers and the broader economy.