Labor market calm in run-up to tariff announcement |
U.S. initial jobless claims moved lower last week, according to the Department of Labor, signaling continued labor market stability ahead of potential volatility from import tariffs. Initial claims dropped 6,000 to a seasonally-adjusted 219,000 in the seven days to March 29th, well below the 225,000 forecast by economists in a Reuters poll. The four-week moving average dropped 1,250 to 223,000, while the total number of claimants, reported with a one-week lag, increased by 56,000 to 1.9m. "This adverse trade news from the White House is an extreme external shock to the economy that is in all the university textbooks, and so too is the need for being on high alert for signs of recession," said Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBONDS. "Weekly job layoffs made by companies are minimal at the moment, but it is too early to forecast what businesses will do in the weeks and months ahead." |
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