Government borrowing hits £10.7bn |
Office for National Statistics (ONS) data shows that government borrowing was higher than expected in February, with the difference between spending and income from taxes hitting £10.7bn. The government's independent forecaster, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), had predicted that borrowing would come in at £6.5bn. Isabel Stockton, senior researcher for the Institute for Fiscal Studies think-tank, said Rachel Reeves had "boxed herself in with promises to meet her fiscal targets, not to raise taxes further and not to return to austerity for public services." At October’s Budget, the OBR indicated that Reeves had £9.9bn available to spend against her borrowing rules. However, Alex Kerr, UK economist at Capital Economics, believes this has now been "wiped out." Analysts at Pantheon Macroeconomics have warned that the UK's "weak" public finances mean the Chancellor will set out spending cuts in the Spring Statement, adding that "taxes will rise in October." Meanwhile, the OBR is expected to cut its economic growth forecast for 2025 from 2% to about 1%.