| Global economic growth to fall below historical average by 2030, IMF warns |
| Global economic growth is expected to reach just 2.8% by 2030, a full percentage point below the historical average, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The IMF warns that major reforms are needed to enhance productivity and leverage technologies like artificial intelligence (AI) in order to counter the weakening growth outlook. The persistent low-growth scenario, combined with high interest rates, could also limit governments' ability to counter economic slowdowns and invest in social welfare or environmental initiatives. The IMF urges countries to take urgent action to prevent worsening prospects for living standards and global poverty reduction. The growth rate of the global labour supply is projected to be less than a third of its average in the decade before the COVID-19 pandemic. However, focused policy actions to enhance market competition, trade openness, financial access, and labour market flexibility could lift global growth by about 1.2 percentage points by 2030. Additionally, harnessing the potential of AI to boost labour productivity could add up to 0.8 percentage points to global growth. The IMF emphasizes the need for regulatory frameworks, intellectual property protections, and fair distribution of AI benefits. |
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