IMF downgrades global, U.S. growth predictions |
The International Monetary Fund has significantly downgraded its growth forecasts for both the U.S. and global economies, citing the impact of President Donald Trump's tariffs. The IMF now predicts global growth will be just 2.8% this year, down from 3.3% in January, with U.S. growth expected to slow to 1.8%, a drop from 2.7%. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF's chief economist, observed: “We are entering a new era. This global economic system that has operated for the last eighty years is being reset.” The IMF has raised the odds of a U.S. recession from 25% to 37%, while economists at JPMorgan estimate a 60% chance. Inflation in the U.S. is projected to rise to about 3% by year-end, exacerbated by the tariffs. Meanwhile, China's growth is also expected to slow to 4% due to reduced demand from U.S. imports.