| U.S. retail sales rebound in February, signalling resilient consumer demand |
U.S. retail sales increased 0.6% in February, outperforming expectations of a 0.4% rise and reversing a revised 0.1% decline in January, indicating that consumer spending remains resilient despite a backdrop of weak job growth and subdued sentiment. The rebound was broad-based, with spending rising across most categories, led by department stores, up 3%, personal care, up 2.3%, and clothing, up 2%, while only grocery and furniture sales declined by 1% each. Underlying demand also strengthened, with the closely watched “control group” measure, excluding volatile categories such as autos, fuel, and building materials, rising 0.45%, above forecasts of 0.3%. However, the data reflects conditions before the recent escalation of the Middle East conflict, which has pushed oil prices above $100 per barrel and gasoline prices past $4 per gallon. Economists warn that higher energy costs, increased inflationary pressure, and heightened geopolitical uncertainty could weigh on consumer spending in the coming months, potentially dampening the current momentum.