| U.S. services inflation jumps as Iran war drives costs higher |
Inflation pressures across the U.S. services sector accelerated sharply in March, with the ISM prices index rising to 70.7 from 63.0, marking its largest monthly increase in more than 13 years and the highest level in four years. The surge was driven primarily by rising energy costs linked to the ongoing Iran war, with businesses warning that higher oil prices are feeding through into broader input costs and threatening to erode consumer purchasing power. Despite these mounting cost pressures, the services sector continued to expand, with the headline ISM index easing to 54 from 56.1, indicating slower but still positive growth. The majority of industries reported expansion, though retail, agriculture and public administration contracted, pointing to uneven performance across the economy. Notably, employment in the sector weakened, with the jobs index falling into contraction territory at 45.2 from 51.8, signalling potential softening in labor demand. The combination of persistent inflation and slowing growth highlights a more challenging outlook for the U.S. economy, as policymakers monitor whether energy-driven price increases begin to spread more broadly ahead of upcoming inflation data.