Conference Board's LEI rises to near-three-year high |
The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, a composite of 10 forward-looking components designed to show whether the economy
is getting better or worse, grew by 0.3% in November, the first growth seen since February 2022, following on from a 0.4% decline in October. Economists had expected it to drop 0.1%. The coincident economic index inched up by 0.1%, while the lagging economic index was 0.3% higher. Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, senior manager of business cycle indicators at The Conference Board, said the index rose due to factors including fewer initial unemployment claims, a rebound in building permits, continued support from equities, and an improvement in average hours worked in manufacturing. Relatedly, the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's monthly manufacturing index fell for a second straight month, to negative 16.4, from negative 5.5 in November, indicating a contraction in activity. The report's new orders index tumbled to negative 4.3, the lowest since May, from plus 8.9 in November. Factory managers continued to be optimistic about prospects in six months' time but their growth outlooks nonetheless softened from a three-year high in November. |
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